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Scott Creek surf report and forecast

Reef breakSanta Cruz, CAForecast 6:47am

Forecast for the selected hour

Now · 8am

5–7 ft · sets to 8

GoodBest today 8am–12pm

The swell is the limiting factor.

3-hourlyGlobal model6-hourly
Hour by hour · TodaySunrise 7:20 · tap an hour
SurfftWindmphTideftSwells · from
Best
sunset 6:26
Model, not a camera ·Today 8am PDT
Open on the map

The wave field solved for this hour on the real seafloor, playing forward. A model, not a camera.

Loads when it comes into view.

The wave field solved for this hour on the real seafloor, playing forward. A model, not a camera.

This hour

The 8am readingSwell, wind, tide, breaker, energy, water
  • Swell4.1 ft · 15 s · WSWMakes the wave: 85% of the energy. Direction at the break.
  • 1.8 ft · 6 s · WSecondary: 15% of the energy. Direction at the break.
  • Wind7 mph from the NNWCross-shore to a shoreline facing 238°Moderate
  • Tide4.1 ft, fallingNext low 3.3 ft at 12:28pm · NAVD88, NOAA 9413450 observed
  • BreakerPlungingBreaks in about 11 ft of water
  • Energy437 kJHeight² × period²Punchy
  • Water64° · air 52° · UV 0

High confidence.

Best window8am–12pm
Against what Scott Creek likesWhy it is Good, not Epic

Preferred tide and swell are surfer-consensus notes for this spot, not yet reviewed against measurements. Wind is judged by the general rule (light or offshore helps). No percent match: these are plain states and reasons.

Nearby at 8amDavenport Landing, Waddell Creek and 3 more

The break

The seafloorRivermouth + beach + reef
Loading the seafloor under Scott Creek…
Open the seafloor on the map

Shallow is light, deep is dark; contours every few feet; the relief is exaggerated.

  • Bottomrivermouth + beach + reef
  • DepthCUDEM 1/9 arc-second (2023), relative to NAVD88. Depth shown is below the selected hour’s tide.
  • CoverageRock reef and headland shapes resolve well. Nearshore sandbars are interpolated flat in this dataset, so a beachbreak’s bar is not in the picture. A tile’s year is its publication, not the survey date.
Why it breaks like thisTwo swells at once, the seafloor is neutral here, where it trips

Read from the current hour (today at 8am). Each number, and what it does to the wave.

  • Two swells at once

    4.1 ft at 15s from the WSW carrying 85% of the energy, plus 1.8 ft at 6s from the W (15%).

    The long-period train is the one building your wave. It holds the most energy and reaches deepest. The shorter ones cross it, which is what makes the surface look busy and the takeoff shift around. Why period matters more than height

  • The seafloor is neutral here

    Kr 0.92 · 86% of modelled rays break.

    Energy arrives roughly as it left deep water: this bottom neither concentrates the swell nor fans it out, so what the buoy sees is close to what you get. Why two breaks a mile apart differ

  • Where it trips

    4.1 ft of tide; waves are breaking in about 11 ft of water.

    A wave breaks when the water gets shallow enough relative to its height, so that depth is a contour on the seafloor, and the tide slides the whole break up and down it through the day. Same swell, different spot, a few hours apart. How the tide moves the break

  • Wind is cross-shore

    7 mph from the NNW, against a shoreline facing 238°.

    Running across the face rather than into or against it. Less destructive than a straight onshore, but it puts a texture on the wall and can make the peak harder to read.

  • How the sets come

    About one set every 3 min, roughly 12 waves in it.

    Swell arrives in groups, not evenly. That spacing is what you are really timing your paddle-out to, and it's why the lineup can look flat for minutes and then produce five waves at once.

How Scott Creek worksA bowly rivermouth right that comes alive on north swell

A bowly rivermouth right that comes alive on north swell; remote and uncrowded.

  • Best tidelow to mid
  • Best swellN–NW
  • Suitsintermediate

2 swell trains in the current hour · How this is calculated

Common questions4 questions about Scott Creek
What is the best tide for Scott Creek?
Scott Creek works best on low to mid tide. Tide matters because depth is what trips a wave: as the water fills in, the break slides shoreward onto a different part of the bottom, and over a shallow bank enough water stops it breaking at all. Our forecast solves each hour at that hour's real water level rather than assuming one.
What swell direction is best for Scott Creek?
N–NW suits Scott Creek best. The direction that matters is the one at the break, not the one on the buoy: the seafloor bends swell on its way in, so a spot can work on an angle the open coast is missing. We model that bending for each break rather than reporting the offshore direction.
Is Scott Creek good for beginners?
Scott Creek suits intermediate surfers, over rivermouth + beach + reef. That is the wave this bottom makes on an average day, and it moves: the same break is a different proposition on a bigger swell or a different tide, so read the day's forecast rather than the label.
What is the bottom like at Scott Creek?
rivermouth + beach + reef. It is the reason this break behaves the way it does: the shape of the seabed decides where the swell focuses, where it trips, and whether it spills or pitches. We model Scott Creek on real 10-foot bathymetry instead of treating the seafloor as a slope.